Here we go. The final days before the election. Joe Biden continues to hold comfortable leads in the polls. RCP shows it as an 8% lead for Biden, and he sits at 51% in nearly all the polls. That lead is 5.4% larger than Hillary’s lead at this point four years ago. 538 gives Biden an 87% chance of victory. They also give Biden a 9.2% lead. The Economist gives Biden a 94% chance to win, and predicts 346 electoral votes for Biden.
Above is my updated map. I am not predicting a close election, or anything resembling 2016 on the surface. The only caveat to my 375-163 map is that I feel eleven states and two congressional districts will be competitive on Election Day. With that in mind though, I see Biden pulling out all of them but Texas. If he really wins by 7% or more, I don’t see how he doesn’t.
What do “the professional” pundits think? Below are some “other” maps:
With the exception of the betting market, there’s not much debate about the state of this race. Chalk that up to the male tilt of the betting market. Throwing that out, I think you can see the state of the race. Now go vote and make it real.