
Photo of the Day, 1/30



Josh Shapiro is running for President. Look, that’s no secret, and it is literally why Kamala Harris came out firing at him in her book. It’s also why he’s now releasing a book, and firing back. This is going to be a very different process for Shapiro though than anything he’s faced before- because people are going to say bad things about him now. Basically after he won his first State House race, he has been the darling of the Democratic left, the “rising star” that ran for Montgomery County Commissioner and Attorney General, and then the unchallenged candidate for Governor in 2022. In 2024, he took his first arrows from opponents when he was mentioned for Vice-President, and well, we now know how he handled it. According to him, he removed himself from consideration. The heat was too much.
Not everyone is Joe Biden. A guy who took the heat, was chosen as VP, and then won twice in the role, before being elected President. Ultimately, Biden finally took a permanent political fall in 2024, but he is definitely one of the most significant political figures of the 21st century, so far (I’d argue third or fourth, but still significant). He will probably be remembered as one of the two or three most impactful governing leaders of this time period. From his work passing the COPS Bill and larger 1994 Crime Bill and the legislation authorizing the use of force in the former Yugoslavia in the 1990’s, to his re-write of bankruptcy law (probably the thing I disliked most on his record), to his decades of playing pivotal roles in the confirmations of nearly every Supreme Court Justice, to his roles in the Obama Administration passing his 2009 recovery act, helping administer TARP, and pushing through the votes on Obamacare and Dodd-Frank, to his own Administration passing the Covid Recovery Act in 2021, passing his landmark infrastructure bill, and passing the Inflation Recovery Act, not to mention his numerous executive orders and appointments to the bench. Joe Biden was probably better at actually governing than anyone in this time period, objectively speaking, with the exception of Bush and Cheney (who screwed up the whole world). One thing he was good at was making the government do the things he wanted. That might have been part of the problem he had politically on several major issues.
Back to Josh Shapiro though and running for President. I mean, he’s doing it unless he somehow loses to his crackpot opponent in 2026, which God willing, he won’t. Josh is carving out his pathway to national contention, which is understandable, and he’s doing it by creating separation between himself of the Biden-Harris Administration. I don’t blame him there. I loved Joe Biden, but he left office deeply unpopular, and Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg are likely to be opponents of his. We have seen other Democrats, namely Gavin Newsom, carve out some separation on actual policy and his political ability to engage the opposition, which you can like or not, but seems like a fair place to carve out your differences when you were a very loyal and supportive Governor for the former President. Josh Shapiro seems to be taking a different route- he’s saying the former President was ineffective, unlike himself. He’s also carving out a retroactive difference with himself and Kamala Harris by saying he told President Biden to drop out earlier, but I’m going to leave that alone because it’s literally impossible to verify how either actually felt on the matter. His argument on effectiveness is fascinating though, he’s citing that absolutely no one in Pennsylvania actually received any of the rural broadband promised in the 2022 Infrastructure Bill. It is, at best, a reach of an argument, and at worst entirely cynical. You see, that bill was passed into law in November of 2021, going into effect in Fiscal Year 2022. It was meant to run from 2022 to 2026. Highway projects were always going to be the fastest (more on this in a minute). Broadband and mass transit projects were going to take several years to happen. They often require studies and approval processes meant to make sure that the most worthy projects got through. For instance, AMTRAK service from New York City into Northeast Pennsylvania was one of the first projects that got pushed through, and it won’t be finished for years. It’s not uncommon for federal government projects that require state partnership to take years, Obamacare was passed in 2010 and didn’t become operational until 2014 for the public. Dodd-Frank was passed early in the Obama Administration and many of the new agencies (such as the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau) weren’t created until 2011 and later. Government moves slow sometimes, so we can avoid waste and fraud. There’s also that other matter of Donald Trump taking office with two years left in the implementation of the Infrastructure Bill, and immediately freezing some projects and seeking clawbacks. Of course Josh Shapiro knows that’s how the Federal Government works, he’s a smart guy. The Broadband component of the bill that he talks about ran out of money at the end of 2024, but was expected to take longer to actually complete from the start. Now we have a President who doesn’t even want to do a lot of it. That’s a bigger reason why Governor Shapiro’s state hasn’t seen broadband yet than some sort of problem with Joe Biden.
Governor Shapiro wants to show himself as the symbol of impactful governance. He chose to lead off his re-election campaign with an ad about the I-95 bridge collapse and subsequent repair that all got done in a few short weeks. It was incredibly impressive, and he deserves credit for it. But… yeah, he didn’t do that alone. You see, when that bridge collapsed there was this guy, Pete Buttigieg, who was Secretary of Transportation, and that was an interstate highway, and so… yeah, he kind of showed up with big checks. Who did Pete Buttigieg work for? That would be President Joseph R. Biden, the guy who was apparently ineffective and asleep at the wheel. Or at least that’s the line now. Secretary Pete’s money was *the* reason everything could move so fast, and that bridge repair was done in 12 days. Without that money, it really would have taken months to re-open. The Biden-Harris Administration got that done. Now it’s literally being used as a contrast to them.
I find the early jockeying between both Shapiro and Harris to be off-putting. We all know that political campaigns are full of hypocrisy, and I certainly don’t blame the Governor for trying to carve out his own lane. With all of that said, let’s try and be just a little bit honest when we do this? Like maybe 1%? I would never make the argument that the Biden Administration was 100% responsible for getting that bridge back up, let’s be honest, the state is more impactful at spending money, and they were here. But if we’re going to go with the “Biden sucked” argument to prop up quixotic 2028 ambitions for everyone, let’s at least be somewhat in reality.


I told you a while back about how Bob “Crooksy” Brooks had posted some racist stuff, particularly his support for a racist flag “because Colin Kaepernick doesn’t like this flag.” Look, Kaepernick has his faults, but it’s racist as hell to post a flag actual racists use it and a Black guy hates it, but I’ll chalk that up to Crooksy being ignorant. I mean, I know exactly what he was signaling to his buddies on the internet, but whatever. I also knew there was more. It’s no shock that the guy Bernard Sanders endorsed, the guy who stiffed his mother-in-law out of $55,000 (that she still hasn’t collected a dime of), the guy who is a religious fanatic, said racist shit. You just knew there would be more fun stuff to talk about.
Well, there is plenty, and we’ll start with another example of his attitudes about prominent Black people- this time, President Barack Obama. It turns out, “Crooksy” said “unfortunately he sucks” about the 44th President of the United States. On September 5th, 2012, right as President Obama was in the thick of his competitive re-election against Mitt Romney, “Crooksy” weighed in with that opinion. Today, “Crooksy” and his team would have you know that he would defend President Obama’s signature achievements (like Obamacare), which I don’t believe, but he swears so. If Obama’s actual policy achievements are worth running for Congress to defend, what exactly made President Obama “suck?” Was it that “Crooksy” actually didn’t like President Obama’s policies and won’t defend things like the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau that was created under Dodd-Frank, that he didn’t support Obamacare, President Obama’s rejuvenation of the COPS Bill to hire new cops on the street, or maybe Obama’s immigration policies? Maybe “Crooksy” was actually a MAGA Trumper until he pulled a coup to become a union leader? Or let’s be honest, could it have just been as simple as to say that “Crooksy” thought President Barack Obama “sucks” because he was a famous black guy like Colin Kaepernick? Look, I have no idea, but “Crooksy” would have you believe now he’s going to Washington as some sort of defender of President Obama’s achievements, but back then he wanted his buddies he tended bar with or whatever that he knew that President Obama “sucks.”
When a candidate runs for office, they tell you what you want to hear, because they want to win. When they were posting things 14 years before that totally contradict what they say now, but do tend to jive with the other really racist, crazy shit they were saying all the way up until they became a public figure, that is exactly who they are. A lot of Democrats won’t call out that this guy is either not a Democrat, or is a straight up return to Dixiecrat roots, because they’re afraid of angering people they want to support them. Look, whatever, I don’t really expect most of these people to have some sort of “profile in courage” moment. I get it, they need the Governor to give them that grant, they need that union to endorse them, they want the party to come campaign for them. That’s fine, like I said, most of these guys are terrified of their own shadow. Let’s call it like it is though- some of us worked for President Obama, some of us worked for the Democratic Party at that time to elect him and people who agreed with him. For some of us, that belief in the President’s values would literally come back to save our life. You can bury your head in the sand as much as you want- nominating someone who shares so few of your values that he embraces MAGA-style soft racism is total capitulation. If you’re fine with that, fine, go ahead. I’m not. I’m not going to be. I was enthusiastic about 2012 Barack Obama. Were you?

California contests a “jungle primary” for it’s offices- no Simba isn’t on the ballot- which means everyone is put on the ballot together, regardless of parties, and the top two get to run in the general election, regardless of parties. In 2016, Kamala Harris won her Senate seat in November by beating Democratic Congresswoman Loretta Sánchez, because they had finished as the top two in the primary. In 2024, Adam Schiff’s allies boosted former Dodger’s first baseman Steve Garvey, running ads calling him ultra-MAGA to insure he got all of the GOP votes, and other Democrats such as Katie Porter did not reach November, and it worked. Jungle primaries can lead to some wild results. It’s the law of the jungle.
Enter the 2026 California Governor’s race, the race to replace everyone’s favorite internet troll, Gavin Newsom (I am a fan, for the most part). It’s going badly. Republican Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco leads with 17%. Former advisor to British Prime Minister David Cameron and Fox News commentator Steve Hilton is second with 14%. Yes, he too is Republican. They account for 31% combined in the latest poll. Former Congresswoman Katie Porter is at 11%, Congressman Eric Swallwell is at 11%, rich guy who bombed for President Tom Steyer is at 8%, former HHS Secretary and House Democratic Leadership member Xavier Becerra is at 5%, former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa is at 3%, State Superintendent of Instruction Tony Thurmond is at 2%. Add them all up and you have 40%, which is underwhelming, but still considerably ahead of the Republicans, but not one of these silly candidates would move on to the general election. Look, in a sane world I’d want Becerra, then maybe Thurmond (because I literally know nothing about him), then Villaraigosa (total mess, but smokes the others), but why are all of these people running? What a joke. If at least three of them don’t drop out, there’s a decent chance of two Republicans advancing, and a lock of one of them.
This field isn’t inspiring, to say the least. Losing this race in the primary would be humiliating. While I’m not a fan of the top three, the bottom three should start to exit the stage relatively soon. Imagine losing this Governor’s race during this Presidency? What a clown show.


Not so long ago, an alleged “reporter” named Nick Shirley started publishing a bunch of videos on YouTube alleging a massive amount of fraud being committed in the Minneapolis region, mostly by Somalians involving day care and other businesses receiving public funds. Shirley’s videos ignited a right-wing firestorm, with calls from conservatives all the way up to the White House for the federal government to intervene, and now. On the left, the response was more divided. Some pointed out that Shirley was going to supposed fraudulent daycares outside of business hours, and others yet pointing out that no daycare is going to let in some random young man demanding to “see the kids.” Some others said fine though, investigate it. The story took on a life of it’s own then.
Nearly right after that, Donald Trump called for an investigation and blamed Governor Tim Walz for everything. Then the Department of Homeland Security loudly announced *they* were going to Minneapolis, namely in the form of ICE. What happened next has been on your news since- multiple citizens shot dead, clashes in the street with protestors, and chaos on a scale that Americans generally won’t accept as normal. In short, things are out of hand, regardless of your political beliefs, or who you blame.
There’s a problem with this chronology though, in fact there are two. First, the investigation into the fraud ring in Minneapolis began in 2022, when the FBI raided numerous locations associated with the nonprofit “Feeding Our Future,” 47 defendants were charged in September of 2022, with 78 charged according to the best information I have to this date. Once this investigation opened, it blossomed into other areas, namely child care, emergency housing, and Medicaid. To this date, 98 people have been charged and over 60 convicted of crimes in this scandal, according to the House Oversight Committee GOP report, the majority of this happening before Donald Trump took office. The ring leader, Aimee Bock, was convicted in March of 2025. Many convictions started happening in 2024. In short, Shirley didn’t expose anything new. He went up there and stirred up an ongoing case that was largely a dormant story.
The second problem with this entire story though is that we seem to have a collective inability to understand who investigates crime. Domestic crime in the United States is investigated by the FBI and the Department of Justice. ICE and the Department of Homeland Security certainly have law enforcement powers, but they are largely over foreign nationals who don’t have a legal reason to be in the United States. A massive fraud ring, while quite serious, is an issue for the Department of Justice, not immigration authorities. They have different capabilities and do different things. DOJ has been investigating this case for close to four years, and has been charging and convicting the people who committed fraud. ICE has nothing to do with that. Their presence in Minneapolis is not aiding in that investigation. Yes, they have arrested 1,000 people in these raids in the city. Those people are guilty of immigration violations (and possibly other stuff, but that’s not ICE’s area). One can have a good faith argument over how we should enforce immigration law (I don’t find it legitimate to say we just shouldn’t). One should not be mixing that with the fraud investigation though. The only crossover here is that Somalians here in America are being targeted in both. That is more a product of who is involved in the fraud cases than some sort of conclusion we should be reaching.
What is going in Minneapolis for the past month is not really about a legitimately bad fraud ring. That’s been going on by the proper authorities. ICE is there to carry out Donald Trump’s goal of mass deportation. They want to find whatever percentage of the Somali community that is illegal, and deport them. I think it is also clear the goal was to cause mass protests and uprising, to create the conflict we are seeing in the streets. Trump would like to use this as a way to “get tough” on liberal cities like Minneapolis, to appease his base. In the end though, the reasoning is less important and less provable, than the reality- this has nothing to do with a fraud investigation. Donald Trump can explain why he did it. My point is why he didn’t- fraud. The fraud was being handled correctly by the dedicated agents of law enforcement, for which we’re all grateful. Whatever the hell this is now is completely the arbitrary decision of a mad man.

As you watch the chaos in Minneapolis, where a completely out of control force is literally killing American citizens in the streets who are not threatening them, it’s worth asking- did we need to be here? Was there an alternative? Could just a few people have avoided this mess altogether?
The answer is yes.
Mitch McConnell and Senate Republicans could have put this all to rest after January 6th, 2021. Just a couple of weeks later, with Trump gone from Washington after his defeat, the GOP could have given the Democrats 17 votes to convict him in his Senate Impeachment trial. He could have been barred from ever holding office again. Sure, the hardline base would have hated it, but he would’ve faded out of power, with no chance to return. With the way Biden’s term went, and with Harris as the candidate, they may have won back the White House anyway. They’d have their trifecta right now, but with less chaos. They had a choice. But they’ve been broken since Barack Obama won in 2008. The establishment of the Republican Party threw open the party to radicals almost immediately after Obama’s inauguration. This was always their logical endpoint.
I think most of the criticism of the Democratic Party is shortsighted and stupid. We are criticizing them for doing what an American political party is supposed to do, respecting norms and trying to improve the country through the legislative process and winning elections. Nowhere in the American political system do we expect members of Congress to ride in like knights on horses to do battle with the opponent. With that said, I guess I would say the problem is that a lot of the Democrats aren’t willing to defend themselves from anyone. Seven House members voted to pass ICE funding this week. Eight Senate Democrats forfeited health insurance subsidies for millions of paying customers under the Affordable Care act to cave in and fund the government in December. They have not warmed up to the reality that giving Trump an inch means losing a mile. They should have learned that from their own far-left though. The decision to allow Bernie Sanders to run in a party he is not a member of in 2016 was a mistake. The decision by party leaders to capitulate to extremist ideas and rhetoric has only done more damage. We’ve watched “normie” Dems embrace every stupid idea from abandoning any border enforcement to “defund the police,” and watched Trump’s vote share increase from 2016 to 2020, and then again in 2024. Even Joe Biden, the ultimate moderate, tried to appease these people. It failed. It cost him his Presidency.
And for what? Let’s be honest, the left may or may not have actually had enough more votes to tip the balance of the 2024 Election to Kamala Harris, but given how very close it actually was, they probably did. The number of votes for Jill Stein, or write-ins for fictional candidates, and the crossovers in places like Dearborn. You can’t lump all of the millions who didn’t vote that did in 2020 into one pot, but you know at least some of them were people who just couldn’t be bothered. Whether it was Gaza, or people mad that she “embraced” transgender folks, or people that just “didn’t like her,” they stayed home, voted for him, or voted protest, they made the difference. She was so close. Yet she either was “too left,” or “was a genociding cop.” They didn’t back her. She lost.
Here’s the thing though- what you’re watching in Minneapolis now, that’s the consequence of it. You fucked around, now you are finding out. Trump told us he was going to do this, his backers wrote Project 2025 as a blueprint for this Presidency. Anyone who believed him that he didn’t know what it was is a willful idiot. The only person who had a chance to beat him on the ballot was Kamala Harris. There was no third outcome. Now Jared Kushner is going to turn Gaza into luxury condos. Now ICE is deporting young children. Kyiv is suffering a brutal Winter as Russia commits war crimes against their people. Medicaid is being decimated. The Department of Education is closed. Trump’s name is on the Kennedy Center. She only really needed a percentage point or so in four out of seven swing states, and none of this would be going on. Was uncommitted worth it? No. Anyone saying otherwise just refuses to admit their truth.

… and then there were two.
I have to admit, I definitely didn’t see this Super Bowl coming. And you know what? Neither did you. In my first rankings, the Seahawks were 18th. The Patriots were 27th. Both were 0-1 at the time. You would have had to be insane to think they’d be here. But they are. And now they’ll play for the championship. Everyone else is finished, and for them, this will be the final rankings of the year.
And so for the rest, the what if’s. Philadelphia, Los Angeles, Buffalo, San Francisco- they all must be feeling like they missed an opportunity. They kind of did. Of course, this begs the question- was this a change season? New England, Seattle, Denver, Chicago- these aren’t old teams. They’re brand new to the stage. Do the teams who have been contending (definitely include Kansas City) have the rosters and front offices to build back up and compete next year? Some definitely will. Some won’t. For someone, we’ll figure out who next Fall, the window just closed. Lots to think about there.
I’ll do my Super Bowl pick closer to the game. For now, the final rankings.
1/19 rankings. 1/13 rankings. 1/6 rankings. 12/30 rankings. 12/24 rankings. 12/16 rankings. 12/9 rankings. 12/3 rankings. 11/26 rankings. 11/18 rankings. 11/11 rankings. 11/4 rankings. 10/28 rankings. 10/21 rankings. 10/15 rankings. 10/8 rankings. 9/30 rankings. 9/24 rankings. 9/16 rankings. 9/9 rankings.
