Real Talk About Charlie Kirk

I waited a few days to write about Charlie Kirk for a number of reasons. The first thing is, I didn’t watch his show while he was alive, so I had no strong, informed opinion about him. I knew I didn’t agree with him much, but that was about it. Second, the rhetoric got so toxic between a lot of people last week that stupid things got said. Some on the left said stupid things, like the world is better off with him dead. Some on the right decided to call for Civil War, as though these keyboard warriors were suddenly revolutionaries. Frankly the entire internet debate was toxic. I didn’t need to write about it until putting some thought into it.

As I said, I just wasn’t really a fan. I also really didn’t think about him much, let alone hate him. The best thing I ever did for my mental health after 2020 was to stop watching 24/7 political news and punditry. Charlie Kirk had his views, I didn’t particularly love them, but he had a right to say them. He also had a right to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness, certainly free from fear of violence. American society failed to provide him that. Any time any person anywhere is killed by another person, that is a bad thing. It is a sad thing. Any time anyone, anywhere is killed over politics, that’s a bad thing, period, full stop. Yes, there are deaths in most revolutions, including our American Revolution, but most revolutions are not fought over differing opinions. The King of England was denying Americans their inalienable rights. Charlie Kirk was saying things you didn’t like on a podcast. Anyone actually involved in politics should be calling for a harsh punishment for the murderer, not trying to twist themselves in a knot to defend it. Political violence is simply always bad. A 33 year old father being shot in front of a live audience because the shooter didn’t like what he said is bad. It’s really that simple and that’s as far as it has to go. No further. I’m not going to make Charlie Kirk more in death to me than he was in life. I’m not going to change my mind about his message. I’m simply going to state unequivocally that Charlie Kirk deserved to be alive. I don’t really care what he said, that doesn’t change.

Now, a little reality for the American Right though- Paul Pelosi got beat with a hammer, over politics; Former Minnesota State House Speaker Melissa Hortman and State Senator John Hoffman, as well as their spouses and one of their dogs, were killed over politics; Gabby Giffords was shot in the head, and five others were killed in Tucson, over politics; Senior Pastor and State Senator Clementa C. Pinckney and eight churchgoers in Charleston were killed, over politics. I could actually go on here, but won’t. The point is that while Trump supporters and Republicans are blaming Democrats and the American left for Charlie Kirk’s shooting, conservatives produce plenty of insane murderers, if not a few more statistically, as well. Hate, violence, and crazy people are not confined to one political side or there other. The kind of nuthouse jackass who will take a gun and try to kill Donald Trump is not much different at all than the nuthouse jackass that drove up to Washington, D.C. to try and stop the fictional “Pizzagate” scandal (update- police killed this lunatic during a traffic stop down in North Carolina).

A little more reality for the American Right- we didn’t kill Charlie Kirk. This kid grew up in conservative, red-state Utah, with Trump loving parents who were very religious. Utah Valley University isn’t exactly in some liberal bastion. Reports are that this kid had a “transexual lover,” but even those reports are murky and don’t really give much context. Some reports say he lived with this person, but records contradict that. Regardless of who this kid loved, there is zero sign at all that he ever became a Democrat, or that he had any intention of helping Democrats through this insane act. The murderer is a scumbag and should pay, the overwhelming majority of Democrats agree with you, regardless of what we think of Kirk. Trying to turn this into some sort of rallying cry to start a civil war is connecting dots that don’t exist.

And now for the left- you don’t have to say much. You are under no obligation to mourn Charlie Kirk. You don’t have to build him a monument. You don’t have to say much of anything at all. You also don’t have to say anything negative about the dead, as has unfortunately happened. There is no virtue in it, whether you’re factually “correct” or not. The people who are cheering negative comments about a dead person they didn’t like politically are not new converts drawn to your intellectually “correct” position, they are people who already agreed with you and voted like you. You are speaking in an echo chamber, and frankly it’s an echo chamber that has not faired well for Democrats. Obviously there are many who disagree with your position that the world is better off with Charlie Kirk dead. There are many, many more who simply roll their eyes at this kind of talk- at best for you, they don’t care, at worst they’re just sick and tired of anyone saying it and are put off by it. It does not matter if you are “right” or not here. The vast majority of the public doesn’t want to hear this kind of talk. They don’t think better of you because you “said it how it is” on Charlie Kirk. Really.

Charlie Kirk did not deserve to die, what happened is awful. I wonder how many people will consider why we’re here though. We have 24/7 political cable news. There are “twitter personalities,” streamers, and other pundits out there putting content into the world. Most of them make their money by appealing to the most zealous of people that agree with them. As a result, they pump out talking points and rhetoric calling their opponents traitors, predators, criminals, and bums. Are there people who are deadbeat bums in our politics? Yes. Have we over used all of this inflammatory rhetoric at this point? Also yes. Constantly telling those who will listen that we are in crisis and the opposition is dangerous, well that eventually has consequences. There is always someone not nearly as stable as you reading the words, and they may decide to act. If you’re going to call someone a deadbeat, make sure it’s justified. Shootings like this are becoming more common, not less.

MLB Power Rankings, 9/15

The Brewers and Phillies not only have the best records in baseball, they’re the first teams to clinch playoff berths. As this week goes, other teams are going to join them. As they do, these rankings will get easier and easier to do. At some point, your record is who you are.

But, none of that will matter in two weeks. Records will mean nothing. If you’re in, and you’re playing well, you’ll keep winning. Right now will matter more than who you are. But not quite yet.

As for how to read this… The top two can start thinking October. The next four are going to make it, so don’t stress. From seven to eleven control their own destiny, and all could possibly even still win their divisions. From 12-20 I basically ranked them from some combination of record and proximity to the playoffs, as all have a shot right now, but look like something between a long shot and just not really wanting to win. After that it’s all teams that are heading to the Cancun Series in two weeks. Some have some talent, some really don’t right now.

  1. The Milwaukee Brewers
  2. The Philadelphia Phillies
  3. The Toronto Blue Jays
  4. The Detroit Tigers
  5. The Chicago Cubs
  6. The Los Angeles Dodgers
  7. The New York Yankees
  8. The San Diego Padres
  9. The Boston Red Sox
  10. The Seattle Mariners
  11. The Houston Astros
  12. The Texas Rangers
  13. The Cleveland Guardians
  14. The New York Mets
  15. The San Francisco Giants
  16. The Arizona Diamondbacks
  17. The Cincinnati Reds
  18. The Kansas City Royals
  19. The St. Louis Cardinals
  20. The Tampa Bay Rays
  21. The Oakland Athletics
  22. The Miami Marlins
  23. The Baltimore Orioles
  24. The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
  25. The Atlanta Braves
  26. The Minnesota Twins
  27. The Pittsburgh Pirates
  28. The Washington Nationals
  29. The Chicago White Sox
  30. The Colorado Rockies

A Long, Long Week.

This past week was long. There’s plenty happening in the world that is wearing on people, but in the course of one week, I had three viewings and four deaths to attend. And there was worse, which I’ll talk about here early this week.

In the picture above, you’ll see a woman holding a shirt from my Dad’s former band. Her name was Janet. She was friends with my parents, and a regular at my Dad’s shows. I knew her best from our Friday afternoon Happy Hours at Colonial Pizza in Easton. She was about as nice of a lady as you could meet. She left this world on September 5th. I had her viewing on Thursday night. I’ll miss shooting the shit with her on Friday’s.

On Tuesday night I joined what basically seemed like the entire Lehigh Valley at Tyler Weidner’s viewing. The line was ten minutes shy of three hours, and I didn’t get there until there was supposed to be 30 minutes left. Tyler’s family live up the street from us and he was a close friend of my cousin’s. The Easton fire fighter was a great guy in all the time I knew him, and his family are awesome people. He’ll be missed.

Everyone in the Easton area knew Zeke Bellis. If you didn’t like him, it’s because you didn’t get to know him well enough. He was a Palmer Township Supervisor, a youth football coach, and most importantly (weirdly), the beer man. Zeke could piss you off sometimes, but if you knew him, you knew he always meant for the best. Our community is worse off without him.

I wrote about the personal connection I had to former Moravian President and Air Force General Erv Rokke. The world lost him too. This guy lead an extraordinary life that took him to places like Moscow to represent America- as in he did some real shit. His service at Moravian quietly impacted things around the entire Lehigh Valley region though, and his voice was respected and heard on many, many matters in the Bethlehem community during his nine years as President.

This week was also 9/11, and we should never forget that. For those of us that lived through that day and were old enough to understand it, no other day compares in it’s impact on the world. We remember all of the lives lost that day, including Easton resident and Notre Dame High School Grad Colleen Supinski.

I’ll address one more death that hit me personally hard this week, and the Charlie Kirk murder. I just wanted to put out there that this was a long, long week not only for me, but for many of the people that I know to read this site. God is with you.

“The Quiet Man” Giovanni Doesn’t Talk Because His Handlers Won’t Let Him

Tom Giovanni is known as “quiet” on council. Most of his supporters and friends tell me this. John Brown and John Goffredo are the Republicans who talk most in meetings. Giovanni is known as less talkative and abrasive. While some people think that’s good thing, and I normally would too, it’s obviously not a good thing in this case. Under the best case, the man has no idea what he will do if he runs the Northampton County Government from day to day next year. At worst? He does know, but the rest of the GOP is just better at articulating the terrible ideas than him.

Giovanni is running against County Controller Tara Zrinski to be Executive. You wouldn’t be able to tell that from his campaign though. His initial press release, which he did in lieu of an actual announcement where he’d have to talk, was written and released by Congressman Ryan Mackenzie’s campaign manager and district director. Now he has signs popping up in the more Republican areas of the county saying “Where’s the money, Lamont?,” a reference to Gracedale money his handlers say Lamont McClure “lost,” even though it’s quite obvious where the money went from the independent auditor. Then there’s the anti-democracy behavior of Republican County Chairman Glenn Geissinger and Councilman Goffredo, claiming that the Executive does not have the power to run the elections office, only the council does. This is of course ridiculous and absurd in a home rule charter county in Pennsylvania that created an Executive office. They’re mad though, because McClure opened satellite voting “on demand” locations in South Bethlehem and up in the Slate Belt in Washington Township. This is silly, one is in a blue area, the other in a red area. McClure isn’t “rigging” an election here, they just hate when people can vote. Giovanni is again silent as his handlers complain about this too. Then there’s the behavior of Goffredo, grandstanding on a budget amendment, calling for Fiscal Affairs Director Steve Barron to resign when he knows damn well that Barron has been interviewing for new positions and may have an announcement soon, since the current administration will end at the end of the year. This hack on council is just setting up to claim they “pushed him out” in support of why we should elect Giovanni in a few weeks. Meanwhile again, Giovanni is asleep up on council, saying not much of anything.

The question is not what Giovanni will do as Executive, the question is whether this man is in a coma or has a pulse at all in his own campaign. As the Republican Congressman, Republican County Party Chairman, and other two incumbent Republican Councilmen are up there focusing all of their attacks on a guy who isn’t going to be appearing on any ballots in 2025, Giovanni is either unwilling or incapable of putting together a coherent sentence, hence why he was terrified to debate Zrinski. Rather than debating, he had his Republican Party Chairman negotiate two separate appearances on WFMZ to “discuss,” or in his case lie about, the issues. This is because Giovanni is simply not capable of saying anything coherent and is better off letting better spokespeople explain his terrible plans for the County.

So what are Giovanni’s plans? Well, let’s be honest, they’re setting up to use the “mismanagement” of funds to come in and argue that it’s time to privatize/sell/close Gracedale. This has been the GOP’s position for 15 years in the county, and they’re going to go as far as they can to get it done. They’re going to use the excuse of the Federal Government cutting Medicaid and Harrisburg not really doing anything to fix it, as well. They’re going to start by demanding he acquiesce to the Council as the new Executive, then he’ll tell them it can’t be run. If the public outcry is too much, they’ll just spend their time making cuts to the place so that it becomes unworkable. Don’t kid yourself, Giovanni may not fully get it, but his handlers have made it clear to him that they oppose a safety net for county residents. It’s coming.

Next, Giovanni’s administration, either unilaterally or by acquiescing to council’s demands, will come in and chip away at access to voting in Northampton County. He’ll immediately kill the satellite voting sites, probably get rid of the four drop box locations (or at least cut them), and probably instruct the election’s office at a minimum to mail out ballots later than the current office does. He may just kill all vote by mail and early voting, citing the President’s illegal executive order on the matter. Does Giovanni fully understand this now? Who knows. He knows that he’s going to do what his handlers tell him though.

Look, the reality is that the county is probably facing a tax increase in about two years, which if handled correctly, might only be a return to the rates prior to the last cut. Washington’s cuts to funding, as well as Harrisburg’s inability to do things, mandate this. Giovanni’s handlers know that’s bad news, in fact the Republican Party Chair and one of his Republican colleagues on Council both lost their last elections because of a tax increase they carried through. Their plan for their chosen puppet, Giovanni, is to simply cut the living hell out of the county government in a DOGE style, harming seniors, the sick, children, and the needy. Less farmland open space protected, sell Gracedale, cut elections to the bone, and God knows what else. Giovanni may not get all the details, but he knows that. So he’s shutting his mouth. No debates. Sleep through council meetings. Let the attack dogs do all the attacking for him. Let the Congressman’s hired hands run the campaign.

The amazing thing is that the Northampton County Republican Brain Trust, who haven’t won a competitive election for Executive, Controller, District Attorney, or Judge since 2017, and have been in the minority after every election on council since 2017, might still blow this. Their decision to run their entire campaign as a referendum on an outgoing Executive who kicked their asses twice, basically betting that the public already doesn’t like their actual opponent who has won county wide election three times now, is political malpractice. I hope they stay on this message for a few weeks, because then Zrinski will win the election. No skin off our backs.

Listen, I’ll go on record and say this is the worst Democratic slate for County Council I’ve ever seen, and I’m not voting a straight ticket for them all. I won’t go further into my explanation for now. There’s a lot to be desired here. There is no doubt though that Zrinski is superiorly capable to the rutabaga the GOP put up in this race. It is possible that Giovanni has a full understanding of what he wants to do with Northampton County, and that he is smart enough to know it’s best he never says some of the things himself. I kind of respect that actually. With that said, if you have to not say what you’re going to do as Executive, because you’re better off letting a pack of rabid dogs and loons behind you say it for you, should you be elected? Of course not. Tom Giovanni is not some quiet wiseman, and he shouldn’t be rewarded for it. At worst he’s an incompetent moron, at best he’s an evil genius. Either way, he’s totally afraid to talk to you.

Happy Sunday to Queens #LetsGoMets

31-48 over their last 79 games. I’m looking forward to the Phillies clinching the division over these guys. May they miss the playoffs too. I hope somewhere, anywhere, Jose Reyes and Doc Gooden are having a terrible day. If they have to get in, fine. Bring them to Philly and let’s beat their busted ass again.

Saturday’s Bets

Alright, time for today’s bets. We’ve been doing decent this week. So I’m sure either today or tomorrow I’ll have to take a beating.

West Coast HeatHunter Greene 6+ strikeouts, Bryan Woo 6+, Logan Webb 5+, and Dylan Cease 6+. This is not for the faint at heart, as I’m picking four guys pitching later on the schedule to all have pretty good outings. Even so, it’s only +113. You have to live a little to die a little though. This is on FanDuel.

The Early Day MuggingAlabama -19.5 (over Wisconsin), Michigan -27.5 (over Central Michigan), Oregon -27.5 (over Northwestern), and George -4.5 (over Tennessee). So basically the play here is four covers. At +1293 the payout is good. The other nice thing is if the first three happen in the noon time slot and you’re otherwise getting killed, you probably get a washout. This is on FanDuel.

Shit at the Wall– Lots of pretty good pitchers, lots of K’s. Bubba Chandler 3+ strikeouts, Max Fried 4+, Joe Ryan 5+, Hunter Brown 4+, and Jacob Misiorowski 5+. This is just a collection of rather manageable numbers that all have to hit together. It’s at +116, so it’s not the massive payout of the last one. This is on FanDuel.

Saturday night massacre– This is pretty random. Duke +1.5 @ Tulane, Arizona -17.5 (over Texas State), and Portland State and Hawai’i OVER 54.5. This one comes in at +584, and it’s pretty reasonable. This is on FanDuel.

The Safeties– Individually here, Guardians over the White Sox Moneyline at -168 and Padres over the Rockies Moneyline at -360. I’m not being aggressive enough here. This is on FanDuel. Over on MGM I turned this into a parlay at +103.

Betting with my HeartTemple +23.5 @ Oklahoma, Pitt -7.5 vs. West Virginia, and Notre Dame moneyline over Texas A&M. A lot of locals here would be happy. This one is at +439. This is on FanDuel.

Touchdown JesusNotre Dame Moneyline, coming in at -245. This is on FanDuel.

Warm up the bus– C.J. Carr goes off tonight, Notre Dame -6.5 and the over at 50.5. This one is at +233. This is on FanDuel.

That Dude in the Corner is WeirdIowa State -21.5 over Arkansas State, Texas and UTEP OVER 51.5, Illinois -27.5 over Western Michigan, and Ohio State -29.5 over Ohio. Just because I can. +1258 on this one. This is on FanDuel.

The TrollVillanova +48.5 over Penn State. This is -122. Penn State not covering has finally pissed me off. This is on FanDuel.

Just for KicksMichigan -27.5 (Over Central Michigan), Alabama Moneyline (Over Wisconsin), Clemson Moneyline (Over Georgia Tech), and Georgia -3.5 over Tennesee. This one pays out at +515. This is on MGM.

A Proper Farewell

In the time since my own near death experience, I have to admit some survivor’s guilt. Once you realize it can all be over in the matter of a moment or a part of the day, you wonder why you got to survive and someone else didn’t. That’s even more true when you pay your respects to someone younger than you. It’s even more true when you know their family and know they’re good people.

On Tuesday night I stood in line for two hours and fifty minutes at the viewing of a young, fallen Easton fire fighter. I arrive there at 7:30pm, after putting my dog down (more on that later), and figured I’d be able to get right through. Instead, it was the longest continual stand I have done in over a year. It was worth it. One thing about Easton, about first responders, and about our local Lehigh Valley wrestling community (his dad was a long time official), we come out for our own. People stood calmly in the line as the 8pm end of the viewing passed and just marched along to the family procession and casket. Cops, fire fighters, EMT’s, blue collar Lehigh Valley people. The honor guard was an incredible touch.

Tyler Weidner was a good friend to my cousin. His father refereed many of my matches. Their family lives up the street. It breaks my heart that they had to endure this sudden tragedy. This young father was way, way too young to die. It’s unfair. As I said, I don’t understand life anymore. Going to things like this, I probably never will again.

Was I Too Mean? Or is Bob “Crooksy” Brooks Basically a Racist Nut?

Ok, I’m going to admit two things. The first is, I actually held back the worst stuff about Bob “Crooksy” Brooks, a Congressional candidate in PA-7, to this point. For a while, I felt like maybe it was overkill. You see, I told you that he stiffed his ex-mother-in-law for $55,000, then lost a lawsuit and appeal. Then since he lost and owed over $130k, he just abandoned the property in his divorce settlement and left it to his ex. You see, when I first published it, I really hoped the guy would just not run. He not only announced, but also announced his endorsement from Deadbeat Bernie Sanders and every other person not from PA-7 besides Governor Shapiro. Of course, this guy had promised Governor Shapiro (and even got a newspaper to print), but what’s the truth to him? Once I knew he was getting in, I decided to tell you a bit more about “Crooksy,” mainly that he’s a militant religious and gun nut that aligns with the 3%’ers. Then, the “working class hero” that stole from his mother-in-law decided to not even attend Labor Day Celebrations with other unions, despite being a statewide union President. He’s just lazy, frankly. Others alluded to that before. Yes, the guy is a deadbeat that stiffed his mother-in-law, it’s not even my opinion. Two courts in Pennsylvania found it. Yes, he’s a right-wing nut. Frankly though, I sat on some stuff. Criticisms from an Allentown Fire Fighter in the political spectrum made me think twice. Sure, this guy is a bum. However, I can’t tell you the last time the Fire Fighters Union and I disagreed on a major campaign. Frankly, I was conflicted.

Well, now I’m not. The other night I ran into a longtime, lifelong friend at the Phillies-Mets game, I’m talking someone who came to see me in the hospital after they chopped off my leg. He’s a fire fighter for a city in the Lehigh Valley, not an overly political guy, and he asked me a question that cut like a thousand knives- are you anti-fire fighter? I had spent three hours waiting in line at a fire fighter’s viewing the night before, I spent my early, formative years in politics organizing with fire fighters in Iowa for Presidential campaigns. Not only was it such a cut at me, to say that through a personal friend? Blaspheme. I guess I was only a friend to this particular union leadership when they didn’t support a deadbeat. Fine.

So here’s where I admit the second part- I held back all the stuff where Bob Brooks really shows you who he is. Bob “Crooksy” Brooks not only stiffed his mother-in-law, his internet history is a horrendous dumpster fire of far-right wing radical rhetoric. Not only did he post about wanting school prayer and guns on demand, “Crooksy” posted the above straight up racist bullshit. Post the 13 stars? That’s one thing. To do so and then make a point to attack Colin Kaepernick directly during the “Black Lives Matter” and kneeling controversies? Bob Brooks is showing you here who he is. He was not yet a candidate for Congress when he put this out. In fact, he hadn’t even staged his coup to be the State President of the Fire Fighters yet. Bob Brooks holds views on race that are way out of line with most civilized people, not just liberals. Most of my Republican friends wouldn’t even post this.

There’s a lot more coming about this “douchebag,” as he called Kaepernick (I don’t even really like Kaepernick, the guy openly says he didn’t vote in 2016, but this is outrageous.). Since his friend in Allentown claims I did this at the behest of a certain candidate, I will go ahead now and confirm that this came from another campaign’s opposition research people, not those of Lamont McClure (he is not paying this individual supplying it, nor is anyone on his behalf.). Later on I will post whole memos on him. Bob Brooks is in way over his head here. There’s a reason even some of his friends called him “Crooksy.” I wonder if they knew just exactly who he was? Do we think Lt. Governor Austin Davis knew he “Crooksy” was?

Today’s Bets

So I told you what I was betting last Sunday. I hit on my pitcher’s strikeouts parlay at +173. Unfortunately today isn’t a super strong day for pitching (I’ve still got you). I almost hit on my QB parlay, but Joe Burrow and Kyler Murray kind of sucked. Week one is hard. The Dolphins blew my early bird, and boy did they look worse than I could have imagined. All of my “safety” picks hit except for the Tigers. As for my dogs, the Browns covered and the Giants didn’t. Ok, so here’s today’s bets.

Jesus Luzardo OVER 6.5 strikeouts. Even when Jesus isn’t at his best, he piles up strikeouts. I took him at +100 on MGM.

Safety Special- Padres over the Rockies, money line. Honestly, this is a terrible bet, but I like to have at least one that should be a gimme. MGM had this -250 and FanDuel at -245. Don’t bother if you won’t put a few bucks behind it.

Strikeout Parlay- Mackenzie Gore 4+, Luzardo 6+, Gavin Williams 4+ strikeouts. These were the only three tonight that I felt reasonably decent about. FanDuel had it at +139. I generally like these bets. You take a larger number of pitchers so you can buy them down to a reasonable number of strikeouts.

Daniels and Love– I don’t particularly love anything to bet on this game. I took Love for 200+ passing yards, Daniels for 175+ passing yards, and Daniels to run for 30+. This is +118 on FanDuel. Honestly, looking over this game, I think Vegas has this one pretty well figured out.

I thought about going edgelord and betting on Washington because everyone is wrong to think the Packers are great for beating the Lions last week, but Washington didn’t look incredible in decimating the helpless Giants, and they’re on the road. I really wanted to throw you some college football action here, but I didn’t like anything for Thursday or Friday. So that’s all I’ve got until the weekend.